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Author : Cagnat René

René Cagnat

 

Le colonel (cr) René Cagnat, lauréat en 2008 du prix Amiral Marcel Duval de le revue Défense nationale et sécurité collective, a pris en 1999 sa retraite au Kyrgyzstan d'où il suit l'évolution des pays centre-asiatiques. Titulaire d'un doctorat consacré à l'Asie centrale, il est, sur ce   thème, co-auteur du Milieu des Empires (Laffont 1981 et 1992), auteur, entre autres, de La rumeur des steppes (Payot 1999 et 2001), et du guide Mondeos Asie centrale (2006). Il prépare la publication en 2009, aux éditions «Actes-sud Imprimerie Nationale» d'un livre d'art, Voyage au coeur des empires : Crimée, Caucase, Asie centrale. 


Colonel (retd) RENÉ CAGNAT, winner in 2008 of the Admiral Duval prize from Défense nationale et sécurité collective, retired in 1999 to Kyrgyzstan, from where he follows developments in Central Asia

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N° 748 March 2012

Afghanistan: Deadly danger! - René Cagnat

In this essay, the author exposes the Central Asian trap which risks snaring NATO forces by virtue of their dependence on logistic supply. A generalised ‘Afghanisation’ of Central Asia is developing along two lines—drugs and terrorism—which are mutually supporting. Hope of stabilisation of the area seems well and truly compromised.

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June 2010

Kyrgyzstan: good luck Rosa! - René Cagnat

President Rosa Otunbayeva is apparently a tough character: she will need to be if she is going to lead her provisional government to a safe harbour! In Bishkek the obstacles to the exercise of power, internal and external, are sizeable and numerous.

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N° 715 January 2009

The future of Central Asia: from the predictable to the desirable - René Cagnat

This is an enlarged version of a presentation given in Russian in Kyrgyzstan on 21 October 2008 at the opening of the forum of the Franco-Swiss Foundation for Human Progress (FPH) dedicated to ‘the future of Central Asia and the code of ethics for its armed forces’.

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N° 698 June 2007

The Afghan nightmare: what is to be done? - René Cagnat

In an article in last month’s issue of Défense nationale et sécurité collective entitled ‘The Afghan nightmare: an update’, the author showed how NATO action in Afghanistan is missing the point: the drugs war. He highlighted the way in which the Americans and their allies have taken the wrong track to the point of alienating a population initially well disposed towards them. The Atlantic Alliance is caught up in an interventionist spiral, and we have to ask ourselves what we are fighting for in Afghanistan. The answer to that question will tell us whether the operation should be maintained, with the sacrifices that that will entail, or whether NATO should withdraw to allow other forces to take over.

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N° 697 May 2007

The Afghan nightmare: an update - René Cagnat

The Americans have opportunely switched the burden of their punitive expedition into Afghanistan onto NATO’s shoulders. Because of their mistakes, what should have been a war of liberation has become a war of occupation, not to say a war on the way to being lost. Just like the Soviet Union before it, the North Atlantic organisation, whose reputation is at stake, has slipped into the interventionist spiral, in which ever more troops and materiel are required. This is the moment, before it is too late, to do one of two things: either fight seriously with new combat and pacification tactics, or pull out of a conflict which is heading for catastrophe.

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December 2014 english version

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